Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.55	2.7
	2.98	2.45	2.72
	3.13	2.36	2.92
	2.99	2.03	3.95	Watch
	2.98	2.73	2.73
	2.5	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.57)	2.52 ↓ (3.05)	2.97 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
32.1%

Draw
36.8%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Maranhão - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Maranhão (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maranhão (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Maranhão is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ASA is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
24.08.25	Central SC - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Maranhão - Central SC	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Maranhão - Tuna Luso Brasileira	4:1 ✺
26.07.25	Altos - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLWW
- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
23.08.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Manauara	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Manauara - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Juazeirense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWW

Maranhão - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide