Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 10 May 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Maranhão |
|
Tocantinópolis |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.65 |
7 |
|
 |
1.44 |
3.5 |
7.15 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.45 |
3.64 |
7.42 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.65 |
7 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.54) |
3.61 ↑
(3.43) |
7.14 ↑
(6.37) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maranhão
62.2% | Draw
25.1% | Tocantinópolis
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+1.1%)Maranhão - Tocantinópolis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 85', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).Maranhão is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Tocantinópolis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Tocantinópolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Maranhão is the undisputed favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Maranhão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 18.06.24 | Tocantinópolis - Maranhão | 1:1 | | 02.06.24 | Maranhão - Tocantinópolis | 0:1 | | 16.07.23 | Maranhão - Tocantinópolis | 2:1 | | 14.05.23 | Tocantinópolis - Maranhão | 0:0 |
|
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
