Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 9

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Marbella		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.5
	1.53	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.56	3.62	6.19
	1.53	3.71	6.54
	1.49	3.74	6.1
	1.52	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)	3.72 ↑ (2.88)	6.07 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
60.3%

Draw
24.6%

Antoniano
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

31.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

30.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbella's performance.

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Marbella - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Marbella is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Antoniano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Marbella is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.10.23	Linense - Marbella	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Marbella - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Cadiz CF B - Marbella	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Marbella - Orihuela	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Estepona - Marbella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWTW
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.10.23	Cartagena B - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Antoniano - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	El Palo - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Vélez - Antoniano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWL

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