Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Antoniano		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.82	2.82
	2.68	2.82	2.79	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.51	2.83	2.79
	2.66	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.1)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	2.8 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoniano
35.3%

Draw
32.4%

UCAM Murcia
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

32%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

32.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antoniano's performance.

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCAM Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antoniano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antoniano - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Antoniano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Arreola A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 2 - 0, Arreola A. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent performances by Antoniano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UCAM Murcia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

UCAM Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

UCAM Murcia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antoniano won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Antoniano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Antoniano	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Antoniano - Minera	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Antoniano - Lorca Deportiva	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Antoniano - Villarreal	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.12.25	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Real Jaén - UCAM Murcia	0:3 ✺
10.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	0:0
30.03.25	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1
17.11.24	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	2:1
11.02.24	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	0:0
01.10.23	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	1:0

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