Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Cartagena B		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.65	3.1	2.6
	2.85	3	2.63
	2.85	2.93	2.64
	2.65	3.04	2.53
	2.6	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.42)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.58 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena B
34.1%

Draw
30.3%

Antoniano
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30.2%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Cartagena B - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Cartagena B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Antoniano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Antoniano to win the game is with odds 2.53.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.10.23	Marbella - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Orihuela - Cartagena B	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Cartagena B - El Palo	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	UCAM Murcia - Cartagena B	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Cartagena B - Vélez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.10.23	Antoniano - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	El Palo - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Vélez - Antoniano	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Antoniano - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWLW

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