Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Huétor Tájar		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.5	2.6
	3.05	2.55	2.65
	3.23	2.41	2.77
	3.07	2.61	2.64	Watch
	2.94	2.99	2.5
	3.05	2.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.86)	2.6 ↓ (3.2)	2.64 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huétor Tájar
30%

Draw
35.2%

Real Jaén
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huétor Tájar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Jaén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huétor Tájar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Jaén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', Sanchez J. 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huétor Tájar won 0.

Huétor Tájar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jaén's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Huétor Tájar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Huétor Tájar won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Huétor Tájar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huétor Tájar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.05.25	Torre Del Mar - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Huétor Tájar - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
01.05.25	Huétor Vega - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Huétor Tájar - Arenas Armilla	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	CP Almería - Huétor Tájar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTTW
- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
10.05.25	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Torreperogil - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Real Jaén - Málaga Juniors	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Real Jaén - El Palo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.04.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0
24.11.24	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	3:2
11.02.24	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	2:3
01.10.23	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	2:1
01.04.23	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	2:1
07.12.22	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0
06.02.22	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	2:1

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