Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Banus Football Center (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Marbella		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.6
	3.9	3.4	1.82
	3.49	3.35	2.04
	3.56	4.57	1.75	Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.78	3.3	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.59)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	1.84 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
24.1%

Draw
25.9%

Juventud de Torremolinos
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

28.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbella's form might have worsened.

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventud de Torremolinos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud de Torremolinos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marbella - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Barrios F. (G) 5. Carbonell A. 22. Rodriguez J. 3. Martinez A. 21. Llacer L. 20. Cambra J. 10. Gil A. 8. Eugeni (C) 19. Ohemeng E. 17. Alexiel 24. Selma D.	13. Barragan B. (G) 15. Salguero A. 4. Merida Palomino J. 18. Delmonte N. (C) 16. Diaz S. 20. Gori 6. Climent A. 10. Gallego Cea F. 11. Ribeiro I. 14. Polo C. 25. Diao U.
Substitutes
2. Alvarez J. 7. Awudu T. 4. Castellano A. 23. Escassi A. 15. Gabri 1. Garcia M. (G) 30. Guzman T. 31. Pineda D. 16. Ruiz A.	12. Ajegun Perez R. 7. Camacho A. 21. Christian 5. Dani 2. Edu Lopez 17. Gonzalez I. 24. Laca I. 23. Lesedi S. A. 8. Penarroya C. 9. Pito Camacho 22. Roldan R. 26. Vila Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Merida Palomino J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Salguero A. 🟨,
53', Carbonell A. 🟨,
57', Eugeni 🟨,
62', Polo C. ↓, Camacho A. ↑,
63', Gil A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
63', Llacer L. ↓, Guzman T. ↑,
63', Carbonell A. ↓, Gabri ↑,
66', Guzman T. 🟨,
69', Ohemeng E. ↓, Awudu T. ↑,
78', Awudu T. 🟨,
79', Alexiel ↓, Pineda D. ↑,
83', Diao U. ↓, Ajegun Perez R. ↑,
87', Ribeiro I. ↓, Pito Camacho ↑,
87', Gallego Cea F. ↓, Penarroya C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Torremolinos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Marbella - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.05.26	Eldense - Marbella	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Marbella - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Marbella - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Marbella	5:4 ✺
04.04.26	Marbella - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.05.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Atlético Madrid B	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Tarazona - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Betis B	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Ibiza - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.03.22	Marbella - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2
21.11.21	Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella	2:1

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