Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		Racing Cartagena MM

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.4
	1.77	3.05	5.63
	1.77	3.05	5.63
	1.73	3.22	5.29
	1.8	3.15	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.59)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	5.09 ↓ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
52.3%

Draw
29.6%

Racing Cartagena MM
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

29.3%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

28.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Racing Cartagena MM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Cartagena MM than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', Olguin M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.03.24	Antoniano - Marbella	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Marbella - Linense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cartagena B - Marbella	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Marbella - Cadiz CF B	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Orihuela - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTWT
- Racing Cartagena MM
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.03.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Linense	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cadiz CF B - Racing Cartagena MM	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Estepona	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Manchego - Racing Cartagena MM	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Águilas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Marbella	0:3

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