Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 24

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)


	Cartagena B		Marbella

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.2	1.71
	5	3.3	1.72
	4	3.1	1.74
	4.45	3.47	1.79
	4.66	3.38	1.76
	4.2	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↓ (4.47)	3.28 ↑ (2.9)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena B
20.4%

Draw
27.7%

Marbella
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

31.1%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

30.3%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Cartagena B - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Cartagena B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marbella is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cartagena B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.02.24	Cartagena B - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	El Palo - Cartagena B	2:2 ✺
04.02.24	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Vélez - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Cartagena B - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 LTTWT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.02.24	Marbella - Cadiz CF B	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Orihuela - Marbella	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Marbella - Estepona	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	El Palo - Marbella	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Manchego - Marbella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.10.23	Marbella - Cartagena B	1:0

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