Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Orihuela		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.7	3	2.65	Watch
	2.65	2.87	2.49
	2.87	2.9	2.61
	2.78	3.02	2.54
	2.65	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.41)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	2.57 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
33.8%

Draw
30.8%

Marbella
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

32.1%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

33.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orihuela's performance.

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marbella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marbella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orihuela - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Orihuela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marbella is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Marbella have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.02.24	Orihuela - El Palo	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Orihuela	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Orihuela - Vélez	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Sevilla B - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	San Roque de Lepe - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWLTW
- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.02.24	Marbella - Estepona	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	El Palo - Marbella	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Manchego - Marbella	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Águilas - Marbella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.10.23	Marbella - Orihuela	2:2

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