Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Marbella		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.48	3.1	2.85
	2.42	3.15	2.95
	2.44	3.03	2.87	Watch
	2.47	3.04	2.81
	2.48	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.81)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	2.79 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
37.1%

Draw
30%

Recreativo Huelva
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbella's form might have worsened.

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Recreativo Huelva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Recreativo Huelva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marbella - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Puerto E. (G) 14. Olguin M. 2. Alvarez J. 20. Bernardo 10. Punal A. 7. Callejon J. 25. Lopez A. 24. Edwards R. 11. Soto A. 16. Hanza D. 19. Ohemeng E.	1. Galvez R. (G) 32. Dani Romero 18. Perejon D. 22. Navas R. 4. Serrano R. 7. Romero P. 8. Luis Alcalde 14. Del Pozo D. 33. Vela A. 9. Quintana C. 19. Garcia Perez J. L.
Substitutes
18. Awudu T. 4. Carrasco J. 6. Duarte J. 9. Du Yuezheng 3. Fornes G. 13. Martin D. (G) 21. Munoz P. 23. Pena M. 17. Ruiz F. 8. Zequi	15. Armero S. 6. Bahachille A. 20. Becken C. 13. Centurion G. (G) 17. Cerrudo J. 26. Davinchi 10. Dominguez A. . Juancho V. 12. Nico Njalla 11. Pineau S. 23. Soto D. 28. Vega I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Quintana C. ⚽,
12', Dani Romero 🟨,
14', 1 - 1, Olguin M. ⚽,
16', Garcia Perez J. L. 🟨,
16', Puerto E. 🟨,
31', Dani Romero 🟨,
33', Luis Alcalde ↓, Davinchi ↑,
42', 2 - 1, Soto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Vela A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
62', Navas R. 🟨,
67', Ohemeng E. ↓, Fornes G. ↑,
67', Edwards R. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
68', Serrano R. 🟥,
70', Hanza D. 🟨,
75', Quintana C. ↓, Nico Njalla ↑,
75', Garcia Perez J. L. ↓, Becken C. ↑,
80', Soto A. 🟨,
81', Alvarez J. ↓, Awudu T. ↑,
81', Hanza D. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Olguin M. ⚽,
88', Lopez A. ↓, Duarte J. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Marbella is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Marbella won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.05.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella	3:2 ✺
25.04.25	Marbella - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Ceuta - Marbella	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Marbella - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Fuenlabrada - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWT
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.05.25	Recreativo Huelva - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Alcoyano - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	1:4 ✺
11.04.25	Sevilla B - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Recreativo Huelva - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.02.21	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	1:3
29.11.20	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	2:0
08.03.20	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	0:0
20.10.19	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	2:1
31.03.19	Recreativo Huelva - Marbella	0:0
11.11.18	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	1:0

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