Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 38

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Banus Football Center (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Marbella		Teruel

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.68	2.98	2.62
	2.6	2.75	2.67
	2.74	2.82	2.8	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.63
	2.63	2.82	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.71)	2.85 ↓ (3.02)	2.65 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
34.2%

Draw
31.7%

Teruel
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

31.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Marbella - Teruel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 22. Rodriguez J. 23. Escassi A. 5. Carbonell A. 20. Cambra J. 8. Eugeni 16. Ruiz A. 19. Ohemeng E. 10. Gil A. 17. Alexiel	13. Ruben Galvez (G) 18. del Moral A. 12. Nicholas N. 3. Fondarella D. 21. Ramos I. 20. Enriquez M. 16. Albisua H. 14. Relu 17. Traore M. 19. de Palmas R. 10. Sutherland T.
Substitutes
4. Castellano A. 15. Gabri 35. Gonzalez I. 21. Llacer L. 11. Moreno P. 26. Navarro C. 36. Revuelta D. 33. Salikov E. 24. Selma D. 29. Vasile C.	32. Esteban M. 5. Goyo Medina 28. Igual C. 9. Lolo 29. Marti A. 7. Moreno S. 6. Redon H. 31. Sanchez D. 30. Smith S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Gil A. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Traore M. ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
22', 3 - 1, Carbonell A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Enriquez M. ↓, Redon H. ↑,
46', Ramos I. ↓, Goyo Medina ↑,
57', Alexiel 🟨,
58', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
61', Ohemeng E. ↓, Vasile C. ↑,
61', Sutherland T. ↓, Lolo ↑,
70', Gil A. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
70', Alexiel ↓, Moreno P. ↑,
73', de Palmas R. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
81', Fondarella D. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
86', Cambra J. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
86', Carbonell A. ↓, Salikov E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Marbella is Relegated to

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Teruel	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Marbella - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Teruel - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.94%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.05.26	Alcorcón - Marbella	6:2 ✺
10.05.26	Marbella - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Eldense - Marbella	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Marbella - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Marbella - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.05.26	Teruel - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Antequera - Teruel	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Teruel - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Hércules - Teruel	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Teruel - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.11.25	Teruel - Marbella	1:0

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