Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 19Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
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 |
|
 |
|
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El Palo |
|
Mancha Real |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.92 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.47 |
3.13 |
2.77 |
|
 |
2.48 |
3.11 |
2.76 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.9 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.42 |
3.02 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.46) |
3 ↑
(2.98) |
2.76 ↑
(2.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Palo
36.9% | Draw
30.3% | Mancha Real
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-0.9%)El Palo - Mancha Real Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 0.El Palo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Mancha Real is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).El Palo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).Including home matches between the teams, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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