Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Marchamalo		Huracán Balazote

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.92	3.5
	2.09	2.99	3.5
	2.11	3.03	3.53
	2.05	2.9	3.4
	2.07	2.99	3.52
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.73)	2.97 ↓ (3.23)	3.49 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
43.6%

Draw
30.5%

Huracán Balazote
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

27.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marchamalo's form might have worsened.

Huracán Balazote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Balazote's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marchamalo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Balazote than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Balazote, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marchamalo - Huracán Balazote Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Marchamalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marchamalo is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Marchamalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marchamalo	5	2	2	1	10:7	3	8
18	Huracan de Balazote	5	0	0	5	4:14	-10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
17.01.26	Guadalajara B - Marchamalo	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Marchamalo - Sonseca	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Tarancón - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL
- Huracán Balazote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
18.01.26	Huracán Balazote - Azuqueca	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Huracán Balazote - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Tarancón - Huracán Balazote	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Huracán Balazote - Pedroñeras	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Huracán Balazote	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.09.25	Huracán Balazote - Marchamalo	1:0
30.03.25	Huracán Balazote - Marchamalo	0:0
10.03.24	Marchamalo - Huracán Balazote	1:0

Marchamalo - Huracán Balazote: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide