Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Marchamalo		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.52
	7.5	4.6	1.34
	9	4.7	1.27
	11.84	4.69	1.31
	10.5	5.05	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.82 ↑ (5.63)	4.57 ↑ (4.2)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
10.5%

Draw
20.3%

La Nucía
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

21.5%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

18.1%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marchamalo's form might have worsened.

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Nucía's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Nucía could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marchamalo - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Marchamalo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches La Nucía is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

La Nucía could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match La Nucía is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.12.21	El Ejido - Marchamalo	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Marchamalo - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Marchamalo - Levante B	1:7 ✺
21.11.21	Pulpileño - Marchamalo	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Marchamalo - Socuéllamos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLTL
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.12.21	La Nucía - Deportivo Toledo	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Mancha Real - La Nucía	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	La Nucía - Águilas	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Melilla - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	La Nucía - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTLL

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