Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Marchamalo		Valdepeñas

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.15	3.7
	1.99	2.99	3.53
	1.98	3.16	3.61
	1.95	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.06)	3.11 ↑ (2.89)	3.61 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
46%

Draw
29%

Valdepeñas
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

31.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

The chances for Valdepeñas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marchamalo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Marchamalo - Valdepeñas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Molina L. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Molina L. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Donado J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Recent matches Marchamalo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valdepeñas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marchamalo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marchamalo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.12.24	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	3:2 ✺
30.11.24	Marchamalo - Manzanares	3:2 ✺
24.11.24	Albacete B - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Marchamalo - Villacañas	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Cazalegas - Marchamalo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWL
- CD Valdepeñas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.12.24	Valdepeñas - Cazalegas	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Quintanar del Rey - Valdepeñas	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Valdepeñas - Manchego	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Villarrobledo - Valdepeñas	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Valdepeñas - Socuéllamos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LTLTT

Marchamalo - Valdepeñas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide