Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Cazalegas		Marchamalo

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.92	2.15
	3.4	3.05	2.1
	3.37	3.06	2.16
	3.3	2.88	2.15
	3.4	3.04	2.09
	3.33	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.36)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)	2.13 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cazalegas
27.1%

Draw
30.2%

Marchamalo
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30.5%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

30.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cazalegas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Cazalegas - Marchamalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Marchamalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marchamalo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cazalegas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cazalegas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marchamalo	5	2	2	1	10:7	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cazalegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.01.26	Azuqueca - Cazalegas	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Cazalegas - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Cazalegas - Tarancón	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Pedroñeras - Cazalegas	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Cazalegas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTLTL
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.01.26	Marchamalo - Huracán Balazote	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Guadalajara B - Marchamalo	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Marchamalo - Sonseca	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
20.09.25	Marchamalo - Cazalegas	3:0
15.03.25	Marchamalo - Cazalegas	2:3
03.11.24	Cazalegas - Marchamalo	4:0
18.02.24	Cazalegas - Marchamalo	3:0

Cazalegas - Marchamalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide