Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Marco 09		Lamelas

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.1	8.25
	1.33	4.2	9
	1.33	4.03	8
	1.39	4.2	9.06
	1.34	4.2	8.95
	1.33	4.2	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.59)	4.16 ↑ (3.67)	8.71 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco 09
67.7%

Draw
21.9%

Lamelas
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco 09's performance.

Lamelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lamelas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco 09 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamelas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lamelas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Marco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lamelas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marco is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	Vila Meã - Marco 09	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Marco 09 - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Florgrade - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Marco 09 - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Beira-Mar - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTTL
- ACDR Lamelas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	Lamelas - Oliveira do Douro	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Salgueiros 08 - Lamelas	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lamelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Lamelas - Vila Meã	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	São João de Ver - Lamelas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.11.23	Lamelas - Marco 09	1:1

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