Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Marco 09		Oliveira do Douro

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.53	3.4	6.5
	1.51	3.95	6.02
	1.53	3.98	6.09
	1.51	3.55	6.54
	1.53	3.4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.77)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	6.15 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco 09
59.8%

Draw
25.3%

Oliveira do Douro
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26.3%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco 09's performance.

Oliveira do Douro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oliveira do Douro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco 09 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira do Douro than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliveira do Douro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Marco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Oliveira do Douro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Marco is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.03.24	Salgueiros 08 - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Marco 09 - Lamelas	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vila Meã - Marco 09	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Marco 09 - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Florgrade - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWTT
- CF Oliveira do Douro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.03.24	Oliveira do Douro - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Oliveira do Douro - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Lamelas - Oliveira do Douro	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Oliveira do Douro - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	São João de Ver - Oliveira do Douro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.11.23	Oliveira do Douro - Marco 09	0:1

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