Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 14

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre (Sydney)


	Rockdale Ilinden		Sydney FC U23

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.05
	1.7	4.35	4.26
	1.97	3.51	3.54	Watch
	1.73	3.6	3.9
	1.71	3.7	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.89)	3.77 ↓ (4)	3.96 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rockdale Ilinden
52.4%

Draw
24.4%

Sydney FC U23
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

23.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

23.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sydney FC U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC U23 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney FC U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7)

Rockdale Ilinden has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sydney FC U23 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sydney FC U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rockdale Ilinden is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rockdale Ilinden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rockdale Ilinden
Australian NPL NSW
03.05.26	Wollongong Wolves - Rockdale Ilinden	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Rockdale Ilinden - St. George City	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Rockdale Ilinden - St George Saints	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLW
- Sydney FC U23
Australian NPL NSW
02.05.26	St. George City - Sydney FC U23	0:5 ✺
24.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
03.04.26	Manly United - Sydney FC U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
31.08.25	Sydney FC U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	2:2
18.05.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney FC U23	2:1
19.08.24	Sydney FC U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	1:2
12.05.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney FC U23	3:1

Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney FC U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide