Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 12

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre (Sydney)


	Rockdale Ilinden		St. George City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.85	4.05
	1.79	4.27	3.8
	1.72	4.38	3.82	Watch
	1.7	3.8	3.8
	1.77	3.86	4.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	4.03 ↑ (3.88)	3.91 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rockdale Ilinden
53.5%

Draw
22.9%

St. George City
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

23.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

18.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

St. George City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rockdale Ilinden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. George City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rockdale Ilinden - St. George City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 3.

Rockdale Ilinden has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. George City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

St. George City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rockdale Ilinden is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rockdale Ilinden won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rockdale Ilinden
Australian NPL NSW
19.04.26	Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Rockdale Ilinden - St George Saints	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
18.04.26	St. George City - Marconi Stallions	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sydney United - St. George City	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	St. George City - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	University of New South Wales - St. George City	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	St. George City - Wollongong Wolves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
24.05.25	St. George City - Rockdale Ilinden	1:4
08.02.25	Rockdale Ilinden - St. George City	2:2
26.05.24	Rockdale Ilinden - St. George City	2:0
17.02.24	St. George City - Rockdale Ilinden	1:2
21.05.23	Rockdale Ilinden - St. George City	2:2
04.02.23	St. George City - Rockdale Ilinden	3:4

Rockdale Ilinden - St. George City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide