Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 13

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spartak Stadium (Sandanski) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	16:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Vihren Sandanski		Marek Dupnitsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.35	5.1
	1.77	3.4	4.7
	1.38	4.31	7.6	Watch
	1.71	3.05	4.65
	1.73	3.36	4.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.3)	3.49 ↓ (4.4)	5.39 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vihren Sandanski
56.4%

Draw
26.4%

Marek Dupnitsa
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

20.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

19.5%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vihren Sandanski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vihren Sandanski's form might have worsened.

Marek Dupnitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Dupnitsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vihren Sandanski than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vihren Sandanski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vihren Sandanski - Marek Dupnitsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Marek will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marek (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nistorov S. (G) 6. Bastunov A. 26. Hadzhiev K. 8. Ivov M. 25. Kilov A. 10. Kostadinov T. 23. Manolev D. 20. Ramadan A. 13. Trenkov A. 22. Tungarov A. 29. Yordanov P.	21. Kostadinov K. (G) 38. Dyulgerov A. 10. Ganchev N. 90. Georgiev P. 19. Goranov D. 44. Kaymakanski H. 16. Mechev S. 11. Miletic M. 3. Petkov M. 2. Plyakov N. 23. Viyachki E.
Substitutes
7. Al Badarin M. 5. Arsov I. 9. Krastev K. 15. Lazarov I. 99. Mihaylov A. (G) 31. Nedevski V. 16. Stojkov D. 19. Veselinski A. 4. Veselinski J.	88. Ajoku E. 1. Borisov S. (G) 22. Georgiev M. 33. Kirilov D. 13. Lyubomirov V. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 55. Sandev R. 27. Todorov N. 9. Velichkov B. 8. Yordanov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 🟨,
21', 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟥,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - efbet League (Promotion: ) and 12th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Marek has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, Vihren enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Vihren has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vihren against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vihren	13	7	4	2	26:13	13	25
12	Marek	13	5	3	5	15:15	0	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vihren Sandanski
Bulgarian Cup
17.10.26	Vihren Sandanski - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
09.10.26	Yantra Gabrovo - Vihren Sandanski	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Vihren Sandanski - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Sportist Svoge - Vihren Sandanski	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Vihren Sandanski - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Cup
17.10.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Cherno More Varna	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.10.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Rilski Sportist	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.04.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Vihren Sandanski	1:0
06.10.25	Vihren Sandanski - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0
Bulgarian Cup
06.09.23	Vihren Sandanski - Marek Dupnitsa	4:3

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