Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 11

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Spartak Stadium (Sandanski)


	Vihren Sandanski		Marek Dupnitsa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.85
	1.61	4.18	4.55
	1.44	5.40	4.91	Watch
	1.58	4.37	4.87	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)	4.3 ↑ (3.4)	4.94 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vihren Sandanski
59.8%

Draw
21.5%

Marek Dupnitsa
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.5%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vihren Sandanski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vihren Sandanski's performance.

Marek Dupnitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vihren Sandanski than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vihren Sandanski - Marek Dupnitsa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Marek (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vihren Sandanski will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vihren Sandanski will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vihren (votes: 4 - 80%). Marek (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nistorov S. (G) 16. Aouachria W. 5. Arsov I. 2. Bachev M. S. 21. Bashliev A. 73. Bengyuzov V. 25. Kilov A. 14. Klimentov I. 17. Leo Pimenta 6. Lyubomirov V. 11. Pehlivanov D.	21. Kostadinov K. (G) 9. Dimitrov I. 14. Dzhadzharov H. 88. George E. 44. Kaymakanski H. 33. Kirilov D. 16. Mechev S. 2. Nikolov B. 99. Vakadinov B. 77. Veshev S. 18. Yordanov R.
Substitutes
8. Cotan A. 71. Karachanakov A. 4. Kikiowo Ayomide D. 10. Kostadinov T. 23. Manolev D. 12. Smilyanski B. (G) 13. Trenkov A. 7. Vasilev K. 15. Velichkov K.	12. Mladenov P. (G) 94. Nenov Y. 27. Todorov N. 6. Yanev V. 8. Yordanov V. 10. Zakonov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', 🟨,
28', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 🟨,
46', 🟥,
56', 🟥,
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Vihren is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marek is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Vihren is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vihren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Including home match between the teams, Vihren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vihren Sandanski
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Vihren Sandanski	3:3 ✺
20.09.25	Vihren Sandanski - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Vihren Sandanski	3:2 ✺
08.09.25	Vihren Sandanski - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Vihren Sandanski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLWW
- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1 ✺
01.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Minyor Pernik	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Marek Dupnitsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
06.09.23	Vihren Sandanski - Marek Dupnitsa	4:3

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