Match Info

Date: 1 December 2021, Wednesday


	Marek Dupnitsa		Septemvri Simitli

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	4.1
	1.82	3.36	4.6
	1.7	3.25	4.75
	1.81	3.32	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 (1.78)	3.31 ↓ (3.36)	4.44 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
51.6%

Draw
27.7%

Septemvri Simitli
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.3%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Septemvri Simitli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Simitli than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Marek is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marek won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.11.21	Strumska Slava Radomir - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
19.11.21	Marek Dupnitsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Neftochimic Burgas - Marek Dupnitsa	Canceled ✺
04.11.21	Marek Dupnitsa - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
29.10.21	Montana - Marek Dupnitsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LW?WL
- Septemvri Simitli
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.11.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Septemvri Simitli	2:0 ✺
19.11.21	Septemvri Simitli - Ludogorets II	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Levski Lom - Septemvri Simitli	1:1 ✺
03.11.21	Septemvri Simitli - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
30.10.21	Lovech - Septemvri Simitli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.07.21	Septemvri Simitli - Marek Dupnitsa	2:1

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