Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 3

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: CT Joao Saldanha (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Trindade A. (Bra)


	Maricá		Bangu

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.05	3.55
	2.05	3.24	3.65	Watch
	2.05	2.88	3.5
	2.03	3.04	3.6
	2.1	3.14	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.13)	3.07 ↑ (2.99)	3.61 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maricá
44.5%

Draw
30%

Bangu
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Maricá - Bangu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yuri Duarte (G) 13. Victor Pereira 3. Rafael Forster 4. Sandro Silva 5. Wellington 2. Magno Nunes 8. Vinicius Matheus 10. Marcelo 6. Rafael Carioca 11. Valdenilson 9. Pablo Thomaz	31. Bruno (G) 2. Caio Felipe 3. Gilberto 4. Patrick 6. Bruno Boca 5. Italo 8. Mauro 11. Lucas Sibito 10. Walber 7. Garrinsha 9. Patryck
Substitutes
21. Alex Azeredo 17. Almir Silva 16. Bernardo 7. Caio Vitor 23. da Silveira Rodrigues V. 14. Fernandes L. B. 12. Gerson Dida (G) 22. Marcelinho 18. Matheus Alessandro 15. Matheus Lira 20. Octavio Manteca 19. Rafael Lucas	1. Diego (G) 14. Dioguinho 21. Douglas Lima 12. Gabriel Barboza (G) 13. Kadu 22. Kauan Guilherme 17. Luizinho 20. Marcelinho 19. Matheus Batista 15. Pedro China 16. Ricardo Sena 18. Welington Zaru
Coaches
Reinaldo	Tinoco

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lucas Sibito ⚽,
17', Marcelo ↓, Caio Vitor ↑,
32', Sandro Silva 🟨,
37', Lucas Sibito 🟨,
38', Italo 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Valdenilson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sandro Silva ↓, Matheus Alessandro ↑,
46', Italo ↓, Dioguinho ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Patryck ⚽,
56', Valdenilson ↓, Rafael Lucas ↑,
57', Vinicius Matheus ↓, Alex Azeredo ↑,
63', Magno Nunes ↓, Almir Silva ↑,
66', Caio Felipe 🟨,
73', Garrinsha ↓, Luizinho ↑,
73', Victor Pereira 🟥,
76', Caio Felipe ↓, Kauan Guilherme ↑,
76', Dioguinho 🟨,
86', Mauro 🟨,
88', Patryck ↓, Welington Zaru ↑,
89', Walber ↓, Marcelinho ↑,

Preview

Bangu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maricá could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Maricá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maricá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.01.26	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Maricá	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
06.09.25	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	1:1 ✺
03.09.25	Maricá - Portuguesa RJ	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Madureira - Maricá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTLW
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
17.01.26	Bangu - Madureira	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Bangu - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.08.25	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	1:0 penalties ✺
27.08.25	Bangu - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	Bangu - Campo Grande	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.02.25	Maricá - Bangu	1:1
Club Friendly
03.07.19	Maricá - Bangu	3:0

Maricá - Bangu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide