The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maricá 36.2%
Draw 31.2%
Portuguesa RJ 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
32.1%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
32.8%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Maricá - Portuguesa RJ Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Portuguesa RJ (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portuguesa RJ (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gerson Dida (G) 2. Magno Nunes 3. Fernandes L. B. 4. Sandro Silva 6. Marcelinho 8. Almir Silva 5. Matheus Lira 10. Marcelo 7. Octavio Manteca 9. Pablo Thomaz 11. Oliver
1. Douglas Borges (G) 21. Willian 93. Henrique C. 13. Lucas Costa (C) 33. Guilherme Santos 5. Henrique Rocha 19. Lohan 8. Joao Paulo 7. Anderson Rosa 17. Gutemberg 9. Uelber
Substitutes
19. Alex Azeredo 14. Bernardo 13. Brenno 20. Caio Vitor 18. Cayke 25. Julio Cesar (G) 16. Magno Souza 17. Mendes C. 15. Quinonez A. 21. Valdenilson 12. Yuri Duarte (G)
23. Alexandre Azizi (G) 6. Alex Moretti 66. Alex Reinaldo 27. Bruno Mota 14. Chay 11. Guilherme Silveira 15. Gustavo Aguiar 31. Leo Muchacho 30. Patrick 18. Rhuan Silveira 10. Romarinho 12. Vinicius Barreta (G)
Coaches
Cravo M.
Sampaio A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Matheus Lira 🟨,
27', Henrique Rocha 🟨,
35', Willian ↓, Alex Reinaldo ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Lucas Costa ⚽, Alex Reinaldo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Almir Silva ↓, Valdenilson ↑,
52', Octavio Manteca ↓, Alex Azeredo ↑,
53', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
55', Sandro Silva 🟨,
60', Henrique Rocha ↓, Alex Moretti ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Gutemberg ⚽, Lohan (A),
67', Oliver ↓, Magno Souza ↑,
67', Matheus Lira ↓, Bernardo ↑,
67', Henrique C. 🟨,
77', Guilherme Santos 🟨,
80', Joao Paulo 🟨,
81', Marcelo ↓, Caick Vitor ↑,
84', Gutemberg ↓, Gustavo Aguiar ↑,
84', Joao Paulo ↓, Patrick ↑,
84', Uelber ↓, Guilherme Silveira ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,
90+11', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 2.
Maricá has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Portuguesa RJ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Portuguesa RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Maricá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).