Match Info
Serie D - Round 2Date: 12 April 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Janio Moraes (Rio de Janeiro)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Nova Iguaçu |
|
Maricá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.72 |
3.95 |
|
 |
2.49 |
2.36 |
3.82 |
 Watch |
 |
2.4 |
2.63 |
3 |
|
 |
2.48 |
2.81 |
3.23 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.17) |
2.63 ↑
(2.51) |
3.5 ↓
(4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nova Iguaçu
37.8% | Draw
35.5% | Maricá
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maricá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Nova Iguaçu - Maricá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 0.Recent performances by Nova Iguaçu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Maricá is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Nova Iguaçu might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Nova Iguaçu - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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