Match Info

Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema)


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.92	2.98
	2.53	2.95	2.97	Watch
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.46	2.83	2.94
	2.62	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.42)	2.86 ↓ (2.99)	2.96 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
36.7%

Draw
32.2%

Portuguesa RJ
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 2. Lucas Carvalho 3. Daniel Nunes 4. Lucas Marreta 6. Guilherme (C) 5. Pablo 8. Luan Gama 10. Rodrigo Andrade 7. Gabriel Agu 11. Cruz Manhaes O. 9. Matheus Goiano	1. Douglas Borges (G) 21. Willian 93. Henrique C. 13. Lucas Costa (C) 33. Guilherme Santos 16. Albert 10. Romarinho 14. Chay 7. Anderson Rosa 17. Gutemberg 19. Lohan
Substitutes
20. Alan 12. Eduardo (G) 21. Elias 19. Ewerton Potiguar 18. Joao Martini 16. Magno 17. Marcellinho 22. Matheus Iacovelli 14. Rocha B. 15. Rodrigo Dantas 13. Ryan Andrade 31. Ze Pompeu (G)	23. Alexandre Azizi (G) 6. Alex Moretti 2. Alex Reinaldo 11. Guilherme Silveira 15. Hugo Iglesias 8. Joao Paulo 31. Leo Muchacho 30. Patrick 18. Rhuan Silveira 9. Uelber 12. Vinicius Barreta (G) 25. Vitinho
Coaches
Roy A.	Sampaio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Matheus Goiano 🟨,
24', Lohan 🟨,
28', Gutemberg 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Luan Gama ⚽,
45+2', Ze Carlos 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Albert ↓, Alex Reinaldo ↑,
46', Matheus Goiano ↓, Matheus Iacovelli ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Gabriel Agu ⚽, Luan Gama (A),
55', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
59', Romarinho ↓, Guilherme Silveira ↑,
62', Rodrigo Andrade 🟨,
63', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Rodrigo Dantas ↑,
69', Chay ↓, Leo Muchacho ↑,
69', Gutemberg ↓, Vitinho ↑,
78', Luan Gama 🟨,
80', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Ryan Andrade ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Willian ⚽,
85', Gabriel Agu ↓, Joao Martini ↑,
85', Luan Gama ↓, Alan ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Alan ⚽,
90+9', 3 - 2, Guilherme Santos ⚽, Lohan (A),
90+9', Lohan ↓, Uelber ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Copa do Brasil
17.02.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
12.02.26	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	Flamengo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	7:1 ✺
30.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Boavista	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLTW
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
11.02.26	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Madureira - Portuguesa RJ	0:2 ✺
22.01.26	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ	3:1
24.01.24	Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0
Brazilian Copa Rio
06.09.23	Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2
30.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ	0:1

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide