Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 33

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Rossett Park (Crosby)


	Marine		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.9	3.1	2.24
	3.1	3.19	2.34
	3.02	3.32	2.31	Watch
	3.05	3.13	2.3
	2.9	3.1	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.82)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	2.27 (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
30.9%

Draw
28.7%

Brackley Town
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Marine - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Grant B. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Lowe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 2, Hall C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Marine have a series of guest games.

Brackley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English National League North
11.02.25	Marine - Rushall Olympic	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Darlington - Marine	3:1 ✺
04.02.25	Oxford City - Marine	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Leamington - Marine	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Farsley - Marine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWT
- Brackley Town
English National League North
11.02.25	Chorley - Brackley Town	4:1 ✺
08.02.25	Brackley Town - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Brackley Town - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Hereford - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Brackley Town - Spennymoor Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.09.24	Brackley Town - Marine	1:0
English FA Cup
06.10.18	Brackley Town - Marine	2:3

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