Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 29

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday


	Farsley		Marine

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.65
	4.1	3.5	1.7
	4.75	3.6	1.68	Watch
	4.88	3.69	1.69
	4.49	3.74	1.74	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.75
	4.08	4.08	1.73
	4.75	3.6	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (2.4)	3.69 ↑ (3.45)	1.7 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
20.8%

Draw
25%

Marine
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

26.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Farsley - Marine Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Marine will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Scarisbrick A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 1, Hyde C. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:2 (average 2.4:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
25.01.25	Farsley - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Farsley - Scarborough Athletic	0:5 ✺
04.01.25	Farsley - Rushall Olympic	1:3 ✺
01.01.25	Radcliffe - Farsley	3:0 ✺
26.12.24	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLLLW
- Marine FC
English National League North
25.01.25	Marine - Buxton	1:4 ✺
18.01.25	King`s Lynn Town - Marine	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Warrington Town - Marine	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Marine - Chester	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	South Shields - Marine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
20.08.24	Marine - Farsley	0:3
English NPL Premier Division
27.04.19	Farsley - Marine	2:0
22.12.18	Marine - Farsley	1:2
28.04.18	Farsley - Marine	3:0
26.09.17	Marine - Farsley	1:2

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