The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Darlington 51.5%
Draw 24.5%
Marine 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
24.6%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
24%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Darlington - Marine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Barrow S. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Newell G. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Sinclair-Smith F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 1 - 3, Zanzala O. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Main C. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2.
Darlington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Marine has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Marine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Darlington is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Outrights of English National League North for now