Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Rossett Park (Crosby)


	Marine		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.65	3.5
	1.83	4.04	3.65	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.82	3.85	3.85
	1.78	3.66	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.67)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	3.64 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
50.4%

Draw
24.5%

Gloucester City
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

23.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Marine - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Spence S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Potter J. ⚽,
62', Morgan B. 🟥,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Whelan L. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Hanks J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, McDonald M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Spence S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Marsden J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Williams E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Brown J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Emmett H. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sinclair-Smith F. (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In recent matches, Marine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gloucester is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gloucester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gloucester has had a series of home games.

In this match, Marine is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English National League North
30.12.25	Chorley - Marine	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Marine - Southport	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bedford Town - Marine	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Marine	1:2 ✺
English National League North
06.12.25	Marine - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWL
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Taunton Town - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Gloucester City - Hungerford Town	6:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gloucester City - Worthing	4:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
05.12.25	Gloucester City - Yate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWWW

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