Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/32-finals

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Worthing

	1	X	2
	3.65	4.25	1.72
	3.6	4.6	1.74
	11.86	6.05	1.21	Watch
	3.75	4	1.7
	3.91	4.15	1.66
	3.6	3.8	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.37)	4.48 ↑ (4.29)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
19.1%

Draw
21.6%

Worthing
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

21.1%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

20.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Gloucester City - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+5', 0 - 1, Jenks T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Watts E. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Hanks J. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Spong J. ⚽,
71', 3 - 2, Spence S. ⚽,
83', 3 - 3, Spong J. ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 3)

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Gloucester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Worthing has had a series of away games.

In this match, Worthing is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
05.12.25	Gloucester City - Yate Town	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Wimborne Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Gloucester City - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Gloucester City - Chertsey Town	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Basingstoke Town - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
06.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Worthing - Hornchurch	5:0 ✺
25.11.25	Torquay United - Worthing	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Slough Town - Worthing	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

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