Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 24

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.65	1.65
	4.57	4.18	1.63	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.65
	4.88	3.7	1.6
	4.75	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↓ (4.63)	3.74 ↓ (4.02)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
19.8%

Draw
24.4%

Gloucester City
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23.2%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Taunton Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Purrington T. ⚽,
14', Day M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Richards-Everton B. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Seymour B. ⚽,
90', Watts E. 🟥,
90+4', Pinchard H. 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Taunton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gloucester is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gloucester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Taunton has had a series of away games.

Recently, Gloucester has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gloucester is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Taunton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Taunton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Gloucester City - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.6%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
23.12.25	Hungerford Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Evesham United - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bracknell Town - Taunton Town	3:2 ✺
26.11.25	Taunton Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLT
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
20.12.25	Gloucester City - Hungerford Town	6:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gloucester City - Worthing	4:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
05.12.25	Gloucester City - Yate Town	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Wimborne Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Gloucester City - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
04.01.25	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	2:2
10.08.24	Taunton Town - Gloucester City	3:3

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