Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Marines		Gasogi United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.05	4.50
	1.94	2.76	4.75	Watch
	1.81	3.2	4.65
	1.75	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	4.5 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marines
50.1%

Draw
29.7%

Gasogi United
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gasogi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Marines - Gasogi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Bizimana Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 1 - 1, Wiselikolo K. ⚽, Ngono G. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Sibomana S. ⚽, Niyibizi R. (A),
73', 2 - 2, Ngono G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marines won 2.

Gasogi United has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Marines could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Marines is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Marines has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:13 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Marines against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marines	5	2	2	1	10:6	4	8
10	Gasogi United	6	1	3	2	4:7	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marines FC
Rwanda Premier League
17.10.26	Etincelles - Marines	0:4 ✺
10.10.26	Marines - Kiyovu Sports	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	APR - Marines	4:2 ✺
06.09.26	Marines - Kigali	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Marines - Muhanga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWW
- Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League
21.10.26	Gasogi United - Gorilla	0:0 ✺
18.10.26	Gasogi United - Bugesera	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Sunrise - Gasogi United	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Musanze - Gasogi United	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Gasogi United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
01.05.26	Marines - Gasogi United	2:2
06.12.25	Gasogi United - Marines	0:2
09.02.25	Marines - Gasogi United	3:0
23.08.24	Gasogi United - Marines	1:0
03.03.24	Gasogi United - Marines	2:0
21.10.23	Marines - Gasogi United	0:1
30.04.23	Gasogi United - Marines	0:2

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