Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 1 May 2026, Friday
|
 |
|
 |
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Marines |
|
Gasogi United |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.82 |
3 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.93 |
2.66 |
|
 |
2.47 |
2.96 |
2.91 |
 Watch |
 |
2.49 |
2.91 |
2.72 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.05) |
2.91 ↑
(2.87) |
2.82 ↓
(3.68) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marines
37% | Draw
31.1% | Gasogi United
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marines's form might have worsened.Gasogi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gasogi United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marines than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gasogi United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Marines - Gasogi United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marines won 2.Marines has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Gasogi United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Marines will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marines won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).Including home matches between the teams, Marines won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Marines | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
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| 18 | Gasogi United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 06.12.25 | Gasogi United - Marines | 0:2 | | 09.02.25 | Marines - Gasogi United | 3:0 | | 23.08.24 | Gasogi United - Marines | 1:0 | | 03.03.24 | Gasogi United - Marines | 2:0 | | 21.10.23 | Marines - Gasogi United | 0:1 | | 30.04.23 | Gasogi United - Marines | 0:2 | | 09.11.22 | Marines - Gasogi United | 1:2 |
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