Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)


	Maringá		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	3.95	7.9	Watch
	1.35	4.3	9.5
	1.46	4.05	7.19	Watch
	1.36	3.75	7.5
	1.4	4.22	8.44	Watch
	2.36	3.01	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.37)	3.88 ↑ (3.01)	7.23 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
62%

Draw
24.8%

Ferroviária
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maringá's performance.

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maringá - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maringá: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Neto (G) 32. Caua Tavares 7. Edison Negueba 2. Gabriel Souza 9. Giovane Gomez 10. Guilherme Pira (C) 18. Jhow Alecxander 5. Kelvi Gomes 28. Lucas Bonifacio 21. Ronald Camarao 6. Thiago Rosa	1. Leo Wall (G) 38. Allison 9. Denilson 7. Fabio 39. Gadu 4. Guilherme Ferreira (C) 27. Nicolas Silva 30. Raoni 6. Rhuan 23. Schilling Arthur 25. Vinni Faria
Substitutes
8. Adeilson Maranhao 20. Bruno Cheron 99. Caique Calito 11. Danielzinho 14. Felipe 3. Gabriel Santos 15. Neira I. 77. Rafinha 29. Rai Natalino 22. Rodrigues J. P. 12. Romario (G) 26. Wallace	42. Barros P. 17. Cantarelli M. 24. Carvalho I. (G) 32. dos Santos A. 37. Gabriel Ticianelli 21. Januario F. 14. Jhonatan Garcia 43. Joao Victor 41. Ortega M. 33. Pedro Estevam 16. Vinicius Meireles
Coaches
Moises Egert	de Paulo Fortes V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Lucas Bonifacio 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Vinni Faria ⚽,
18', Guilherme Ferreira 🟨,
44', Schilling Arthur 🟨,
45+1', Nicolas Silva 🟨,
45+1', Caua Tavares 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Gabriel Souza ↓, Caique Calito ↑,
46', Caua Tavares ↓, Gabriel Santos ↑,
46', Vinni Faria ↓, Cantarelli M. ↑,
55', Adeilson Maranhao ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Ronald Camarao ⚽,
63', 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Denilson (Penalty Awarded),
67', Allison 🟨,
68', Thiago Rosa ↓, Felipe ↑,
75', Nicolas Silva ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Edison Negueba ⚽,
79', Raoni ↓, Pedro Estevam ↑,
80', Rhuan 🟨,
85', 3 - 2, Edison Negueba (Penalty Awarded),
87', Giovane Gomez ↓, Neira I. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Maringá is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maringá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Maringá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95% Maringa FC: 6.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Maringá - Goiás	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Maringá - Uberlândia	3:2 ✺
24.02.26	Boavista - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
07.02.26	Maringá - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Galo Maringá - Maringá	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.03.26	Ferroviária - São José-SP	4:1 ✺
25.03.26	São José-SP - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ferroviária - Linense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
15.07.23	Ferroviária - Maringá	1:2
13.05.23	Maringá - Ferroviária	0:0
25.05.19	Ferroviária - Maringá	0:1
18.05.19	Maringá - Ferroviária	0:2

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