Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 2

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Maringá		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.30	4.50
	1.72	3.25	4.50	Watch
	1.75	3.39	5.13
	1.8	3.41	4.57
	1.82	3.15	4.40
	1.70	3.46	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.30	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.52)	3.32 ↓ (3.75)	4.72 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maringá
53%

Draw
27.6%

Santa Cruz Recife
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.5%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maringá's form might have worsened.

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maringá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Maringá - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Neto (G) 8. Adeilson 99. Caique Calito 7. Edison Negueba 18. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 30. Ronald Carvalho 6. Thiago Rosa 4. Wendel Lomar (C)	1. Thiago Coelho (G) 6. Alex Ruan 28. Eron 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 13. Matheus Vinicius 5. Pedro Favela 19. Renato 26. Silva 2. Thiago Ennes 4. William Alves (C)
Substitutes
1. Affonso de Jesus G. (G) 20. Bruno Cheron 14. Felipe Cardoso 3. Gabriel Santos 2. Gabriel Souza 10. Guilherme Pira 17. Iago Santana 44. Jesiel 5. Kelvi Gomes 77. Rafinha 16. Rian Patric 37. Serginho	15. Andrey 8. Arilson 10. Cassiano 27. Edson Miranda 7. Fabinho 32. Joao Pedro 9. Matheus Cadorini 12. Rokenedy (G) 23. Tiago Marques 33. Vini Hora 18. Willian Junior 31. Ze Mario
Coaches
Campanari I.	Cristian Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Pedro Favela 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alex Ruan ↓, Arilson ↑,
54', Renato ↓, Vini Hora ↑,
55', Paulinho 🟨,
57', Paulinho ↓, Iago Santana ↑,
58', Jhow Alecxander ↓, Serginho ↑,
67', Eron ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
67', Everaldo ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
73', Pedro Favela ↓, Fabinho ↑,
74', Ronald Camarao ↓, Guilherme Pira ↑,
74', Caique Calito ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
74', Arilson 🟨,
81', Wendel Lomar 🟨,
82', Matheus Cadorini 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, Matheus Vinicius ⚽,

Preview

Maringá is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santa Cruz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Maringá is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maringá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Maringá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91% Maringa FC: 6.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
06.09.26	Floresta - Maringá	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Paysandu - Maringá	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Maringá - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Confiança - Maringá	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Maringá - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWTL
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
06.09.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Anápolis - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Caxias	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.05.26	Maringá - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1

Upcoming Matches