Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, DAZN Brasil


	Confiança		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.41	2.95	2.9	Watch
	2.49	3.05	3.14
	2.58	2.94	2.97	Watch
	2.41	3.18	2.94	Watch
	2.41	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.99 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
38.2%

Draw
30.9%

Ponte Preta
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Confiança - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Confiança (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Confiança (votes: 1 - 50%). Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Mariano (G) 6. Airton 11. Breiner C. 8. Dionisio 4. Eduardo Moura 5. Fabio Silva (C) 9. Felipe Clemente 10. Luiz Otavio 3. Maicon 7. Ronald Camarao 2. Valdir Junior	12. Diogo Silva (G) 15. Artur 10. Elvis 18. Emerson Santos 7. Jean Dias 17. Jonas Toro 25. Lucas Candido 2. Maguinho 4. Saimon 37. Serginho 34. Wanderson
Substitutes
30. Allan (G) 20. Fabricio 12. Felipe Scheibig (G) 22. Felipe Vieira 21. Gabriel Fontes 17. Geovane 14. Lucas Souza 16. Matheus Blade 13. Renilson 18. Rodriguinho 19. Vitinho 15. Weriton	35. Diego Tavares 21. Dudu 29. Everton Brito 99. Gustavo Vintecinco 20. Joao Gabriel 55. Leo Oliveira 27. Luiz Felipe 28. Pacheco 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 5. Rodrigo Souza 6. Sergio Raphael
Coaches
Waguinho Dias	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Emerson Santos 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Luiz Otavio ⚽,
24', Eduardo Moura 🟨,
29', Artur 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Emerson Santos ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
46', Valdir Junior ↓, Weriton ↑,
61', Lucas Candido ↓, Dudu ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Elvis ⚽,
67', Dionisio ↓, Geovane ↑,
75', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
75', Maguinho ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
78', Ronald Camarao ↓, Fabricio ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Elvis ⚽,

Preview

Confiança is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Confiança will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
20.04.25	Confiança - Caxias	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
29.03.25	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Itabaiana - Confiança	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.03.25	Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTWW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie C
19.04.25	Ponte Preta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Figueirense - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Concórdia - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Ponte Preta - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	São Paulo - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.11.21	Confiança - Ponte Preta	0:1
14.08.21	Ponte Preta - Confiança	4:2
19.12.20	Confiança - Ponte Preta	1:2
27.09.20	Ponte Preta - Confiança	2:1

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