Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 14

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	Maringá		Piracicaba

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.7
	2	2.8	3.85
	1.97	2.84	3.82
	1.94	3.14	3.96
	2	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.71)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)	3.82 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
45.6%

Draw
30.7%

Piracicaba
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

29.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

29.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maringá's form might have worsened.

Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piracicaba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maringá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piracicaba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maringá - Piracicaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Maringá is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Piracicaba is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maringá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maringá is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maringá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie D
15.07.23	Ferroviária - Maringá	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Maringá - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Operário MS - Maringá	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Maringá - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWT
- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Serie D
15.07.23	Piracicaba - Operário MS	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
14.07.23	Osasco Sporting - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
11.07.23	CA Juventus - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Piracicaba	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
04.07.23	Piracicaba - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
06.05.23	Piracicaba - Maringá	1:1

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