Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 2

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre)


	Pouso Alegre		São José-SP

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.18	2.88	2.25
	3	3	2.15
	3.2	3.08	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.32)	3.02 ↓ (3.19)	2.21 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
29.4%

Draw
29.9%

São José-SP
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pouso Alegre's form might have worsened.

São José-SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São José-SP's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pouso Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São José-SP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Brandao ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Thalisson ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, David Lima ⚽,

Preview

Pouso Alegre is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São José-SP has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
27.04.24	Internacional de Limeira - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
28.03.24	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Itabirito	5:2 ✺
10.03.24	Itabirito - Pouso Alegre	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- São José-SP
Brazilian Serie D
27.04.24	São José-SP - Costa Rica	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
27.03.24	São José-SP - Velo Clube	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Velo Clube - São José-SP	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	São Bento - São José-SP	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	São José-SP - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Pouso Alegre - São José-SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide