Match Info

BRAZIL: MINEIRO - 5TH-8TH PLACES - FINAL

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)


	Athletic Club		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.9	4.8
	1.55	4	5	Watch
	1.6	3.92	5.39
	1.6	3.92	5.39
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.59	3.94	5.11	Watch
	1.55	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	3.94 ↑ (3.86)	5.07 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
58.5%

Draw
23.3%

Pouso Alegre
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.5%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jefferson Luis (G) 50. Alason Carioca 10. David Braga 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 2. Douglas Pele 9. Jonathas 3. Leo Cruz 8. Luciano 4. Victor Sallinas 7. Welinton Torrao 6. Yuri	1. Thiago Braga (G) 3. Alex Alves (C) 5. Felipe Moreira 8. Henrique Rocha 34. Igor Goularte 2. Leo Principe 19. Magno 11. Nestor Mansur 96. Paulo Henrique 45. Thiaguinho 30. Vinicio
Substitutes
18. Barroso B. 19. Brandao 27. Daniel Amorim 26. Diego Vitor (G) 15. Luiz Henrique 16. Natan 17. Rafael Conceicao 11. Robinho 12. Rodrigo Bazilio (G) 14. Weverton 13. Ynaia	25. Cristian Bauer 18. Da Silva 9. David Lima 21. Denival (G) 22. Fillipy 15. Gabriel Neto 7. Henrique Caivano 10. Joao Henrique 13. Kaique J. 4. Lucas Mufalo 28. Lucas Nathan 77. Marcos Kayck
Coaches
Roger Silva	Rodrigues G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, David Braga ⚽, Yuri (A),
24', Yuri ↓, Ynaia ↑,
29', 2 - 0, Jonathas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nestor Mansur ↓, David Lima ↑,
46', Vinicio ↓, Kaique J. ↑,
46', Alason Carioca ↓, Robinho ↑,
55', Luciano ↓, Barroso B. ↑,
55', Thiaguinho ↓, Lucas Nathan ↑,
67', Igor Goularte ↓, Gabriel Neto ↑,
74', David Braga ↓, Rafael Conceicao ↑,
74', Jonathas ↓, Brandao ↑,
75', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Welinton Torrao ⚽, Rafael Conceicao (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Athletic won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
23.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Athletic Club - Uberlândia	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.24	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.03.24	Uberlândia - Athletic Club	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Athletic Club - Itabirito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTW
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
23.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Itabirito	5:2 ✺
10.03.24	Itabirito - Pouso Alegre	4:1 ✺
02.03.24	Patrocinense - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Pouso Alegre - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
23.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:3
17.02.24	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	4:1
02.02.22	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:4
20.03.21	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	2:1

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