Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 14Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Marinhense |
|
Peniche |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.18 |
3 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.13 |
3.2 |
3.22 |
Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.08 |
3.21 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.1 |
3.25 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (2.39) |
3.06 ↑ (3.05) |
3.18 ↑ (2.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marinhense 42.1% | Draw 29.5% | Peniche 28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Marinhense - Peniche Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 2.Marinhense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Peniche has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;