Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Pombal (Pombal)


	Pombal		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.8	3	2.41
	2.88	3.09	2.44
	2.8	3	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.18)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	2.57 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pombal
34.4%

Draw
30%

Marinhense
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pombal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pombal's form might have worsened.

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pombal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pombal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pombal - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Kuca (Pen),
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pombal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pombal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Clube de Pombal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.04.25	Elvas - Pombal	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Peniche - Pombal	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Pombal - Fatima	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	SB Castelo Branco - Pombal	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Pombal - Pero Pinheiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWW
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.04.25	Marinhense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Marinhense - Alcains	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Os Marialvas - Marinhense	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Marinhense - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.01.25	Marinhense - Pombal	2:0

Pombal - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide