Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal da Marinha Grande (Leiria)


	Marinhense		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.98	2.05
	3.65	2.92	2.1	Watch
	3.5	2.88	2.05
	3.56	2.98	2.06
	3.6	2.83	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.33)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.07 (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marinhense
25.4%

Draw
30.9%

Oliveira Hospital
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

29.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

29.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The chances for Oliveira Hospital have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Oliveira Hospital (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oliveira Hospital (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,
62', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Recent form of Marinhense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oliveira Hospital is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marinhense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Marinhense has had a series of away games.

Oliveira Hospital could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.12.25	Lajense - Marinhense	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Marinhense - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLL
- Oliveira Hospital
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.12.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	União da Serra - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - Peniche	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Eléctrico - Oliveira Hospital	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.04.21	Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital	1:2
10.01.21	Oliveira Hospital - Marinhense	2:0
08.03.20	Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital	1:0
27.10.19	Oliveira Hospital - Marinhense	1:0

Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide