Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 18Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday
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UD San Fernando |
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Marino |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.83 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
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2.02 |
3.05 |
3.45 |
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1.96 |
3.2 |
3.81 |
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1.97 |
3.24 |
3.71 |
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2 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
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1.95 |
3.13 |
3.72 |
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1.88 |
3.25 |
3.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.88) |
3.14 ↓
(3.18) |
3.7 ↓
(3.82) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
UD San Fernando
46.6% | Draw
28.9% | Marino
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)UD San Fernando - Marino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Martel J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', 🟥,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Marino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, UD San Fernando is a strong favorite.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
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| 5 | CD Marino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 | | | 07.09.25 | Marino - UD San Fernando | 0:1 | | 27.04.25 | UD San Fernando - Marino | 2:1 | | 08.01.25 | Marino - UD San Fernando | 3:1 | | 23.04.23 | UD San Fernando - Marino | 1:2 | | 08.01.23 | Marino - UD San Fernando | 2:1 | | 08.03.20 | UD San Fernando - Marino | 3:0 | | 20.10.19 | Marino - UD San Fernando | 4:2 |
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