The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marino 35.3%
Draw 29%
Unión Sur Yaiza 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
29.1%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
30.7%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Unión Sur Yaiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Marino won 2.
Marino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Unión Sur Yaiza is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Marino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Marino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Marino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.