Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Marino de Luanco		Zamora

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.3
	3.1	2.9	2.4
	3.29	2.76	2.46
	3.29	2.76	2.47
	3.19	2.74	2.48
	3.15	2.8	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4.12)	2.79 ↓ (3.05)	2.41 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
28.9%

Draw
32.9%

Zamora
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

30.3%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

29.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marino de Luanco's performance.

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marino de Luanco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marino de Luanco - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Cuesta M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Marino de Luanco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zamora is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marino de Luanco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marino de Luanco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Marino de Luanco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.04.24	Marino de Luanco - Rayo Cantabria	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Pontevedra - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.04.24	Zamora - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Rayo Cantabria - Zamora	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Zamora - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	4:0 ✺
24.03.24	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Zamora - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.23	Zamora - Marino de Luanco	0:0
12.02.23	Zamora - Marino de Luanco	3:2
25.09.22	Marino de Luanco - Zamora	1:0

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