Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 26

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Marisca Mersch		UNA Strassen

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.6
	4	3.75	1.7
	2.79	3.55	2.31
	2.81	3.56	2.3
	2.96	3.57	2.16
	3.3	3.35	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.89)	3.61 ↓ (3.82)	2.01 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marisca Mersch
27.7%

Draw
25.8%

UNA Strassen
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.2%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24.1%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marisca Mersch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

UNA Strassen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNA Strassen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marisca Mersch than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNA Strassen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Varela J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
64', 2 - 0, Fall L. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Azong C. ⚽,
77', Lahrach Y. 🟥,
85', 2 - 2, Azong C. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 7).

Marisca Mersch has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

UNA Strassen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marisca Mersch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UNA Strassen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's UNA Strassen to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marisca Mersch won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marisca Mersch
Luxembourg National Division
20.04.24	Jeunesse Esch - Marisca Mersch	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Marisca Mersch - F91 Dudelange	3:4 ✺
07.04.24	Differdange 03 - Marisca Mersch	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Marisca Mersch - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:4 ✺
17.03.24	Käerjéng 97 - Marisca Mersch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg Cup
24.04.24	Yellow Boys Weiler-La-Tour - UNA Strassen	0:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
21.04.24	UNA Strassen - Fola Esch	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Jeunesse Esch - UNA Strassen	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	UNA Strassen - Wiltz 71	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
12.11.23	UNA Strassen - Marisca Mersch	1:1

Marisca Mersch - UNA Strassen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide