Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 12

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Maritimo U23		Portimonense U23

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.2	2.28
	2.49	3.71	2.54
	2.58	3.7	2.43	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.5
	2.42	3.44	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3)	3.47 (3.47)	2.44 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritimo U23
36.2%

Draw
26.4%

Portimonense U23
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritimo U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maritimo U23's performance.

Portimonense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maritimo U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense U23 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maritimo U23 - Portimonense U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 🟥,
45+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maritimo U23 won 2.

Recent performances by Maritimo U23 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portimonense U23 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maritimo U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Portimonense U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Maritimo U23 won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Maritimo U23 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Portimonense U23	7	0	4	3	4:9	-5	4
20	Maritimo U23	7	0	3	4	5:12	-7	3

Last Results with these Odds

Portimonense U23 - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maritimo U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
05.03.26	Maritimo U23 - Estoril U23	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Maritimo U23	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Estoril U23 - Maritimo U23	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Maritimo U23 - Gil Vicente U23	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Farense U23 - Maritimo U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWLLW
- Portimonense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
03.03.26	Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Portimonense U23	5:3 ✺
19.02.26	Farense U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Portimonense U23 - Leiria U23	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Portimonense U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.01.26	Portimonense U23 - Maritimo U23	3:2
18.04.23	Portimonense U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1
22.03.23	Maritimo U23 - Portimonense U23	1:2
Portuguese Taca Revelacao U23
21.04.22	Maritimo U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
19.12.21	Maritimo U23 - Portimonense U23	5:1
16.10.21	Portimonense U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1
17.12.20	Portimonense U23 - Maritimo U23	1:2

Maritimo U23 - Portimonense U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide