Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 11

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	15:00	Canal 11


	Portimonense U23		Estrela da Amadora U23

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.68
	2.43	3.54	2.7
	2.38	3.65	2.67	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.5
	2.34	3.32	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.36)	3.4 ↓ (3.56)	2.63 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense U23
38.5%

Draw
26.8%

Estrela da Amadora U23
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Estrela da Amadora U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense U23 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense U23 won 1.

Portimonense U23 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Estrela U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Estrela U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Portimonense U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Portimonense U23	10	1	4	5	8:17	-9	7
20	Estrela U23	10	1	3	6	10:19	-9	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.02.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Portimonense U23	5:3 ✺
19.02.26	Farense U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Portimonense U23 - Leiria U23	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Portimonense U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Vizela U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Estrela da Amadora U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Estoril U23	0:0 ✺
19.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Maritimo U23	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Gil Vicente U23	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1
26.11.25	Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:2
27.08.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Portimonense U23	2:0
22.10.24	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Portimonense U23	4:2
07.08.24	Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:0
19.12.23	Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:2
26.09.23	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Portimonense U23	0:0

Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23