Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 9

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Estrela da Amadora U23		Maritimo U23

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.85
	1.6	4.1	5.01
	1.59	4.31	4.81	Watch
	1.57	3.7	4.6
	1.57	3.8	4.98	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	3.93 ↓ (3.94)	4.83 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora U23
57.8%

Draw
23.3%

Maritimo U23
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.6%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Maritimo U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Estrela da Amadora U23 - Maritimo U23 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Estrela U23 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maritimo U23 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maritimo U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Estrela U23 is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Estrela U23	7	1	2	4	6:13	-7	5
20	Maritimo U23	7	0	3	4	5:12	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
11.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Gil Vicente U23	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Vizela U23	4:0 ✺
14.01.26	Leiria U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWWW
- Maritimo U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
13.02.26	Estoril U23 - Maritimo U23	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Maritimo U23 - Gil Vicente U23	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Farense U23 - Maritimo U23	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Maritimo U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Vizela U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWLL

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